Saturday, July 04, 2009

My analysis: Sarah Palin is running for President in 2012

Palin", "We are not retreating. We are advancing in another direction."

I've rarely been wrong in what I've posted on this blog since it's conception. I don't think I'm wrong now. When Palin announced she was resigning as Governor of Alaska, I was taken back by the sudden decesion of Sarah. I went back and watched the video of her speech. Then I started to think and think and think. Then I displayed a very smirked grin, because a light bulb went off in my head. It was like everything just fell into place like playing Tetris. If Sarah Palin is going to do what I think she is going to do, the woman is as crazy as a fox and a genius on top. I debated my theory for Palin's resignation, and I have yet to find any flaw with it. Here is the reason why Sarah Palin resigned now instead of waiting until her term ended in 2011.

Go back to last year. The political primary session was pushed way back to January 3rd. States wanted to push their primaries back to coincide and compete with the Iowa Caucus and the New Hampshire Primary. Other states wanted their primaries to have some validity and not be taken for granted by the candiates. Last year's Iowa Caucus took place on January 3rd. That is a very important date to keep in mind. If Sarah Palin was to have finished out her first term as Governor, she wouldn't have left office until January 22th of 2011. That would have only given Palin "less then a year" to create a campaign team from scratch, go across country to raise money, and create a support staff in Iowa and New Hampshire along with organizing her supporters nationwide. It would have been logistically impossible to have accomplish a massive undertaking like that in less then 1 year time. If Palin would have stayed to completion, she would have only been severely handicapping herself in the process. Furthermore, this would have given her GOP rivals time to out raise money and have an obvious advantage over her. Here is a text book example of what I mean. Fred Thompson entered the Republican primary race on September 6th of 2007. That was less then three months before Iowa. His campaign was in disarray from the beginning primarily due to rushing to make up time and total miscommunication. Palin's haters can call her a "quitter" all they like. They must not have listened to the same speech I've heard. Palin isn't a quitter, if anything she's an "opportunist". If Palin truly wasn't going to run for President in 2012, why she just didn't say that she wasn't going to run for President either? Think about that. This sums it all up and then some.



Great minds think alike. This is Mark Levin's take on Palin's resignation.

18 Comments:

Anonymous Chilerkle said...

I hope this beautiful woman of integrity takes the white house back from the crooks come to 2012.
It would be a reason for rejoicing.
I hope that the problems Obama has caused can be remedied via the 2010 senate elections. I'll pay attention the voting records of every current senator and make a list of who needs to be given the boot!

2:16 PM  
Blogger conservative brother said...

I tried to stay neutral after the election Chilerkle. I've always said that I was a Bobby Jindal guy. That didn't stop me from defending Sarah Palin at every turn. I did so for a reason. She represents to me something I don't see in politicians. She more then earned the right to run in 2012. I think 2010 is the key also Chilerkle. I believe Democrats know that they are increasingly in trouble day by day. To date, none of Obama's policies have been a success with Americans. His personal popularity can only last so long. As independents leave him, his overall popularity starts to come down inch by inch. The only people that have the fanatic hatred of Palin are the ones that have a fanatic crush on Obama. In 2012, it has to come down to the issues and the track record of Obama. The character assassinations won't be an issue this time around. Liberals trashed Reagan back in 1980 during the campaign as an old, clueless, actor. It didn't work, and Reagan destroyed Carter. It was like Reagan said during the time.

"Are you better now then you were four years ago".

As the economy continues it's decline, people are going to remember that the economy under Bush was pretty decent compared to what they are experiencing now. Obama won't have the Bush cow to milk in 2012. It is all on him. That is why Palin is so dangerous to them. The nation wanted to see a Palin vs Obama debate last year far more then they wanted to see a Obama vs McCain debate Chilerkle. I have a feeling that a Palin vs Obama is destined to happen.

2:54 PM  
Blogger conservative brother said...

The Republican 8 that voted for Pelosi's cap and crap bill might as well look for new jobs if they can find one. Their careers are over come election time.

2:56 PM  
Anonymous Robb said...

T, I think you hit this on da money bud. I'd love to see Palin run. It only makes sense. Like a "Tetris" game. ( Showin your age man! lol )

My only fear is the GOP in disarray and infighting between each other. I like Newt and I like Romney. But I simply want the best candidate, to stand toe-to-toe with the messiah.

Newt has the wits to match Obama. But Sarah, I think has the witty come backs, intelligence and down to earth charm, many of us liked about Bush.

I just want the best wo-man to stand and represent, that's all.

2:29 AM  
Blogger conservative brother said...

This comment has been removed by the author.

3:31 AM  
Blogger conservative brother said...

Robb, I'm an old school 80's decade kind of guy,lol I think every "known" potential Republican candidate has his or "her" flaws. Take Newt for example. Newt is one of the brightest conservative thinkers within the GOP hands down. As a presidential candidate, he is going to have problems though. I have my doubts the Republican females or women in general will be so forgiven over him leaving his wife and the way he did it. Newt will be a constant reminder to the episodes of Mark Sanford. I would have voted for Mitt Romney in the General Election. I voted for him in the primaries. Romney can destroy Obama on the economy and business. I think as it stands right now, the two candidates for the nomination are Mitt and Sarah. They both have the charisma. It will be a treat to see them duke it out. If Huckabee enters the race, that can spell trouble for Mitt all over again. I don't think the GOP needs a super strong candidate to beat Obama, just someone that is much better then McCain by far. By 2012, Obama will be damaged goods in the eyes of independent voters. The Obama kooks can't win the election for Obama by themselves. It's going to come down to issues and Obama's failed economy among other things. Thats why their attacks on Palin is so funny in an odd way. They are to stupid to understand that the 2012 election is going to come down to the report card on Obama and nothing else. The GOP has over a year to get it's act together. Palin has a unique advantage that any other GOP hopeful doesn't have. Palin of course is a woman. They're were millions of young girls between the ages of 14 to 17 that wanted to vote for Palin but couldn't because of their age. In 2012, those millions of young females will be able to vote. Advantage Palin.

3:38 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I hope Sarah takes our conservative values and slamdunks them down the throats of the libs.

12:48 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Palin is for America not the entire world like Obama, especially the Islamic faction. This faction wants to destroy every other one. Palin should run and really tell people the real deal.

Obama has never been baptized and always puts the Bible down. He thinks that he is so slick but says the Sermon on the Mount is radical and I read it 5 times this month trying to find the radical verses and words and never found them. Obama is slick sayng he is a Christian and degrading the Bible every chance he gets. I really dont care what he is but to degrade a religion heclaims to be is wrong. He was a Muslims until he was 20 and attended the Church of Wright, wshich was not a christian church, at least not the one taught by Christ, but he taught Islam weekly at the same "Christian" building called a church. The message he taught was the same one Farrahkan taught at the mosque on Friday as Wright was a Muslim and as such is to be killed. Obama was never baptized and uses his kids baptizism as a point for him. Someone needs to ask him was he baptized. Muslims dont get baptized, yet in the Quran, allah said he was the greatest baptizer and liar, and deceiver and schemer, which mean he is Satan the Devil. Muslims are given the right to lie to non-muslims and feel righteous. Obama was threaten in Turkey but the media hid this information. For more information get Religious Bullying by Raisin Head at Barnes and Nobles. Disturbing information re: the religious/racial war coming in America by Muslims.

1:39 PM  
Blogger conservative brother said...

I think I've passed the point of not being pissed off at the treatment of Sarah Palin. The treatment towards her makes me dislike liberals more and more every day. Frankly, I'm sick of taking the high ground with these pieces of trash. I hate to see bad things happen to good people. Palin is a good person. I can only hope that these creatures of habit get in the end what they dished out to Palin. I really hope that happens. The coverage has been insanely negative from day one with no rational reason for it. Sarah Palin isn't the only female conservative in America, yet intolerant hate filled liberals and their prostitutes in the media seem to only think she is. Liberals expose themselves with every attack on Palin who the true "hate speech" deliverers are. They have become Palin's equivalent of her Klu Klux Klan. It doesn't matter what she does. She will always be hated just because she exists. So I never want to here liberals talk about conservatives being bigots and hate filled. Conservatives and Republicans in general never treated Obama like liberals treated Palin.

4:00 PM  
Anonymous allyHM said...

I love Sarah Palin and pray to God (lterally) that she runs for 2012. But if she doesn't, my ex-husband, a libertarian, thinks the Gov. of Minnesota Pawlenty and Rep. Eric Cantor of VA are good options for a national ticket. A cursory review of their records so far seems acceptable, but since I've never heard their names before (a good thing indicating they've been doing their jobs rather than seeking the limelight AND they've kept their noses clean so far), I'm concerned that they don't have enough charisma or "air time" to be nominated even for the primaries. Anyone got any info on these guys?

11:17 PM  
Blogger Hefmier said...

Tyrone,
Long time viewer, first time commenter. I would like to add something to your comments about Palin's resignation. It was NO ACCIDENT that she chose July 3 to give her announcement. It is the day before July 4, AKA Independence Day. Sarah declared her Independence Day one day before the actual holiday. Anyone who has been following the Sarah Palin blogs like Conservatives4Palin (a blog that I know that you have commented on) or TeamSarah, would know what I am talking about. Ever since Election Day, 8 months ago, the attacks on Sarah Palin have not subsided. In Alaska, they have gone to a whole new different level, with some nuts filing frivolus ethics charges that would be very funny if it not cost the Governor and her family (and the State of Alaska for that matter) a considerable amount of time and money, even though they have been pretty much dismissed by the proper people. It is really difficult to counterattack these accusers while in office, and it took up much of Sarah's and her office's time. It also had an affect on the family that would only get FAR MORE WORSE with time. In short, I have to quote Joseph from the Old Testament of the Bible when he reflected on what happened in his life: "you meant evil against me; but God meant it for good". With her resignation from public office, not only will she not be tied down by these attackers (she will be able to attack them, if needed) she will also have lots of time to spend with family and to study up on the essential issues, if she decides to run for President. Brace yourselves folks, I think things are going to get exciting in the not-too-distant future.

4:39 AM  
Blogger conservative brother said...

anon" I hope Sarah takes our conservative values and slamdunks them down the throats of the libs.

She will, I have no doubt in that. Palin shares one of George Bush's few decent qualities. She really doesn't give a dam what the pundits or the media thinks about her. I noticed that she has taken her message to facebook and twitter. That is extremely smart of hers. Facebook and Twitter is how Obama was so effective in communication and organizing his supporters. Palin said during her acceptance speech about "bypassing the filter of the mainstream media". It looks like she has set up her own media operations in which they can't twist and distort her message. This woman is sharper then others give her credit for.

11:55 PM  
Blogger conservative brother said...

allyHM "love Sarah Palin and pray to God (lterally) that she runs for 2012. But if she doesn't, my ex-husband, a libertarian, thinks the Gov. of Minnesota Pawlenty and Rep. Eric Cantor of VA are good options for a national ticket."

Cantor and Pawlenty are nothing more then McCain v2.0. If either one runs and get the nomination, Obama will win a second term by even a bigger margin then last time ally. Only a conservative can beat Obama.


allyHM "A cursory review of their records so far seems acceptable, but since I've never heard their names before (a good thing indicating they've been doing their jobs rather than seeking the limelight AND they've kept their noses clean so far), I'm concerned that they don't have enough charisma or "air time" to be nominated even for the primaries. Anyone got any info on these guys?

Well ally, Pawlenty is in the same mold as former Governor Charlie Crist. They both believe in "watered down" version of conservatism. They also believe in "going along to get along" with Democrats. As time gets closer to the IOWA, check out how the media reports on Pawlenty, that will tell you everything you need to know about him ally. The media will treat the least conservative with the most respect, just like they did with McLame. The media is so very predictable.

12:06 AM  
Blogger conservative brother said...

Hefmier "Tyrone,Long time viewer, first time commenter. I would like to add something to your comments about Palin's resignation. It was NO ACCIDENT that she chose July 3 to give her announcement. It is the day before July 4, AKA Independence Day. Sarah declared her Independence Day one day before the actual holiday."

I've never thought about that way Hefmier. You could be on too something Hefmier. The pundits are ticked off, because Palin isn't doing what they expected. An independent person can and usually will act according to his or her thinking. I like your theory Hefmier. July 3th could have been her way of saying that her battle for America beyond Alaska has begun.

Hefmier "Anyone who has been following the Sarah Palin blogs like Conservatives4Palin (a blog that I know that you have commented on) or TeamSarah, would know what I am talking about. Ever since Election Day, 8 months ago, the attacks on Sarah Palin have not subsided."

I was actually naive Hefmier to have believed that after the election the attacks would have indeed stopped. It has been 8 months with no end in sight.I believe that the people that adore Obama are the same people that hate Palin the most. I also believe that the reason they aren't displaying their vicious hatred towards other potential 2012 candidates is because they know that Palin is the true threat. They are desperately trying to polarize and demonize her. This is no different then what they did the Joe the Plumber.


Hefmier "In Alaska, they have gone to a whole new different level, with some nuts filing frivolus ethics charges that would be very funny if it not cost the Governor and her family (and the State of Alaska for that matter) a considerable amount of time and money, even though they have been pretty much dismissed by the proper people."


This is why liberals are so dam phony Hefmier. Liberal didn't care about the cost to the people of Alaska when they launched their 15 frivolous ethic violations, but then they "cared" about the people when Palin resigned by saying "she abandoned the Alaskan people". I wanted to puke. Of course the media will never report that Palin is still well liked in Alaska.


Hefmier "It is really difficult to counterattack these accusers while in office, and it took up much of Sarah's and her office's time. It also had an affect on the family that would only get FAR MORE WORSE with time. In short, I have to quote Joseph from the Old Testament of the Bible when he reflected on what happened in his life: "you meant evil against me; but God meant it for good". With her resignation from public office, not only will she not be tied down by these attackers (she will be able to attack them, if needed) she will also have lots of time to spend with family and to study up on the essential issues,

I agree 100% Hefmier. Palin's haters may have made a huge tactical mistake with their continuous attacks. Her resigning is in many ways a sign that she is untying her hands from behind her back to fight. If they would have just left her alone, she might have stayed up in Alaska, I believe she will be brushing up on the issues and watching Obama's failures very closely and taking detailed notes. If I could advise her, I would tell Sarah to spend a few months at the Reagan library. Watch his speeches and embrace his ideology and make it her own. If she does run, she will win only if she can directly contrast conservatism against Obama's failed liberalism.


Hefmier " she decides to run for President. Brace yourselves folks, I think things are going to get exciting in the not-too-distant future."

Sarah Palin is a fighter. The more they attack her, the more she is determined to fight on. Sarah knows perfectly well that her haters want her silenced once and for all Hefmier, she doesn't strike me as a woman that is going to give her enemies what they want. I wouldn't be surprised that she runs for President just to spite them.

12:41 AM  
Blogger Just Sayin said...

I think you may be onto something!

Two questions:

1.What do you make of the conservative blogs(HotAir, Ace etc) freaking out and saying her career is over/dead?

2.Do you think not serving her full term is going to harm her greatly in the Primaries or down the road?(ready to be president etc etc)

4:11 AM  
Blogger conservative brother said...

Just Sayin "What do you make of the conservative blogs(HotAir, Ace etc) freaking out and saying her career is over/dead?"

This is my take on that Just Sayin. There are people that like Sarah Palin and understand how she thinks, and there are others that like Palin but don't really understand how she thinks. Michelle Malkin and some others might be in the second camp. Palin acknowledged the other day during her speech that her decision was "unconventional". So this means that she didn't make this choice without thinking,and she knows how others might view it. In other words, it wasn't an "erratic decision" by Palin like the media wants to paint it as. As for the issue about her not finishing out her term possibly being harmful to Palin. I don't see it as coming back to hurt her. The state of Alaska has spent over $2million dollars defending the Governors office from the 15 frivolous ethic complaints. Palin spent a lot of time successfully fighting them. With that said, she hasn't been able to focus 100% of her time on the position she was elected to do. So with her gone, the new governor can do just that. She actually put Alaska first. Also, it would be hypocritical "like that has stopped them before" of her haters to attack her as a quitter, when Obama himself didn't finish out his first term as the U.S Senator of Illinois. People leave their jobs all the time to pursue other interests. I'm sure they would never call Bill Gates a "quitter" for dropping out out of Harvard Law School to start Microsoft. If Palin was never selected by McCain, do you believe anyone outside of Alaska would have cared if she resigned? This is a vital question. I know for a fact that if Palin was still an unknown and still resigned, the people that criticize her now would care less. It is nothing more then hypocritical political theater on their part as usual. Furthermore, I believe many people deep down know she is resigning to also run for the GOP nomination. What the pundits or her fringe attackers say is irrelevant. She is going to run regardless of what they say. That's how she is. If she feels she can raise the money and has the support, she is going to go for it.

7:49 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

At an Arab festival, Muslims attacked arab Christians, a sign of the religious race war to come. Religious Bullying by Raisin Head ned to be read. It exposes Islam and its evil lies and plans to destroy America.

2:33 PM  
Blogger Thuyen Tran said...

CB,

What is also hypocritical is how the left wants to paint her as corrupt, unworthy of being governor. By their argument, it is right and proper for her to resign. Yet now the left throws a fit that she resigns. It is hypocrisy, false outrage, and dishonesty on the left's part.

Funny the left can make all kinds of hateful comments against her and other conservative women, and it is free speech, but if a conservative dare state a view like abortion is murder, it is hate speech and the person is blamed for the deaths of scumbags like Tiller who the left wants to turn into a martyr- the ultimate act of foolishness.

1:20 AM  

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